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CBB: North Carolina vs. Villanova (8:45 PM ET, CBS)
2009-04-06
Villanova is the lowest seed to make the Final Four this season and has to fight the “just happy to be here” syndrome. If you noticed, head coach Jay Wright had the biggest smile of any of the sideline generals that appeared on television over the weekend. It is generally accepted that the coach has a chance at least for a day to relish the moment of taking a team to the elite of college basketball and it is personally satisfying to do so. Bettors give his team a better chance of beating North Carolina than the oddsmakers do. See the latest breakdown on the BETTING TRENDS page.
Villanova (30-7, 19-14 ATS) was close three years ago, with another bunch of scintillating guards. In 2006, it was seniors Randy Foye and Allen Ray, along with Kyle Lowery. They were the number one seed and lost to eventual champion Florida. In fact, the Wildcats have been a terrific tournament team under Wright with 11-4 SU record, but three of their four losses have been to eventual champion.
What made this team better is stronger inside presence, led by Dante Cunningham. The senior gives them a hard-working rebounder with nose for the ball and Shane Clark is ravenous defender, who also crashes the glass. While Villanova has somewhat of a reputation for slow-down basketball, they can play all 94 feet expertly and are 11-2 ATS versus good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points a game this season.
A lot of the attention is focused on the guards and it should be. Scottie Reynolds is the main man, but hardly the whole show. The Corey Fisher-Corey Stokes guard combo give the ‘Cats two scorers and defenders and Reggie Redding can lock an opponents best scorer, while adding points himself. Villanova comes is 10-3 ATS following a ATS win, which they had over Pittsburgh and you better not neglect Dwayne Anderson who also does many of the little things that have helped this team win games.
If you noticed, North Carolina (32-4, 16-19 ATS) had the most joy-less celebration of the four combatants that have made their way to the Motor City. The reason is simple; last year’s loss in the Final Four to Kansas left an empty void and the goal this year was to win six games in the tournament, not four.
Like every team in Detroit, the Tar Heels are peaking. North Carolina is 11-4 ATS away from Chapel Hill versus teams outscoring their opponents by four or more points an outing. Danny Green and Wayne Ellington have been finding the bottom of the net with exceptional regularity and Tyler Hansbrough is more dependable than a Swiss Army knife. As has been witnessed, Ty Lawson is playing not only like the ACC player of the year, but also like a first team All-American guard.
North Carolina’s offense is almost impossible to contain, scoring 90 points a game, converting on 48.3 percent of attempts and burying the three-ball 38.3 percent of the time. Though this team is more focused on offense than defense, that doesn’t mean they do not defend, ask Oklahoma who needed several baskets late just to reach 60 points. When the Heels hold opponents to 60 or less points they are 13-4 ATS in next contest.
For the second game of the day, Sportsbook.com has North Carolina as seven point favorite with a total of 158.5.
If North Carolina is hitting on all cylinders (a little Detroit talk), Villanova is only going to get run over with the Tar Heels taking record to 9-1 ATS in the NCAA tournament the last two years. UNC can match the play of the Wildcats guards and has more fire power and options to put them away. If they have a six point lead late, North Carolina can salt it away and cover, since they make 76 percent from the free throw line.
Villanova can shock the world in part because they are free of pressure. The so-called experts give Michigan State a shot to pull the upset, with nobody talking about coach Wright’s ‘Cats. Nova has to hit shots and avoid dead spots, where North Carolina can run off 10 straight in less than two minutes. They must always stay within contact. The defense has to play up on their man, especially Lawson, getting a hand in the face on every attempt and not have Cunningham get in foul trouble. Villanova has covered five of last six as tournament underdogs.
Teams like Villanova off back to back upsets are just 2-7 ATS when they make the Final Four, yet teams like the Tar Heels that are favored by seven or more points two days before the championship are 1-8 against the oddsmakers number.
CBB: Picking a Champion
2009-03-31
We are down to the nitty-gritty having to wait until Saturday afternoon to see who might be playing for the national championship. Though two of the teams that made the Final Four were expected, two others were mild surprises. Here is a breakdown of various elements to consider about all four participants that will be making their way to Detroit. Odds were as of Tuesday morning at Sportsbook.com. For the latest lines, totals, and futures prices, visit the LIVE ODDS page.
North Carolina -125 to win title
Take a quick trip back to Jan. 11 when North Carolina stood at 0-2 in the ACC and make your determination how far this talented team has come. Tyler Hansbrough and Ty Lawson are the two most important players on the Tar Heels roster; however the contributions of Danny Green and Wayne Ellington should not be understated. Their has been and will be more talk about the North Carolina players like Hansbrough, Green and Ellington to a lesser degree wanting to comeback to win a national championship. Once they found out they were unlikely to be taken in the first round of last year’s draft, they made the decision to return to Chapel Hill with sights on winning title, not before that.
There are a number of reasons why North Carolina is better than even money to give Roy Williams his second title in four years. Though Villanova has a wonderfully diverse backcourt, nobody has a player like Lawson. Ellington and Green are better players when he’s on the court. The Tar Heels have three players that shoot over 40 percent beyond the arc and they have a vast assortment of frontcourt players that can score and rebound. North Carolina is not a possession by possession defensive team like Michigan State; nevertheless, they can make four stops in a row and score on the other end each time to make short runs that open up games. This group of players was expected to be here and now their mission is to finish the deal, they are 8-1 ATS in last nine NCAA contests.
Connecticut +250 to win title
Though the path to the Final Four has been come thru the West Region before for Connecticut, their next game will be played in front of what should be at least 30,000 Michigan State fans. With the Huskies, you know Hasheem Thabeet, Jeff Adrien and A.J. Price are going to be solid performers. What secured Connecticut’s ability to get to Motown was the continued emergence of Stanley Robison and the growing before our eyes play of freshman Kemba Walker.
Thabeet is the biggest game-changing big man in the Final Four since Houston's Hakeem Olajuwon and Georgetown's Patrick Ewing played in the 1984 event. While his presence has a dramatic impact on how opponents go into the lane, his ability to stay out of foul trouble is of equal importance. UConn is a smart team and doesn’t give away points at the free throw line, committing very few fouls in spite of excellent on-ball defense. Higher seeds like Connecticut with a differential of at least two spots in the Final Four are 8-3 SU and ATS.
Michigan State +500 to win title
This is the most unlikely team to be in Detroit, even though they are just 75 miles away. If Tom Izzo’s name wasn’t in the conversation about best coaches in college basketball, that stops today. His Michigan State team was better prepared and outplayed a better Louisville team. Though not many will mention this, Izzo DID out-coached Rick Pitino.
Statistically, the Spartans aren’t going to overwhelm any of the four teams at Ford Field, not being an impressive team offensively or defensively. What they do is stay in front of their man on defense, offer enough help on dribble penetration and get a hand in your face. It’s often talked about most teams don’t like to play defense for 35 seconds, the same often holds true for teams running offenses. With how Michigan State guards, players become trigger-happy after 25-30 seconds, especially after a few empty trips.
Point guard Kalin Lucas makes the offense go, but when Goran Suton and Durrell Summers are dropping shots, this team adds a completely different dimension. Michigan State will have a football-like advantage as far as crowd noise and must keep there composure from being to “geeked” to play. Though teams off upsets cover just 40 percent of the time in the Final Four, nobody has had a few of the edges the Spartans will.
Villanova +600 to win title
Jay Wright is the only coach among the four, who has not won a national championship. With a couple more upsets, he and Villanova could change all that. After a walk-thru first half against American, the Wildcats were as impressive as any team in the tournament in almost literally taking apart UCLA and Duke. After Pittsburgh had wallowed thru three games, they returned to being Pittsburgh and for the final 30 minutes of that Elite Eight contest, all both teams did was make one big play after another.
What’s memorable about Villanova is the strength and diversification they have at guard. Be it Scottie Reynolds, Reggie Redding or the Corey’s, Stokes and Fisher, each brings something and invariably two or more plays well. Every coach would love to have a Dante Cunningham, who worked hard each year to be what he is today and fellow seniors Dwayne Anderson and Shane Clark are making plays on both sides of the court.
Just like in 1985 when Villanova last made the Final Four, this squad is not given a chance and has the advantage of zero expectations, other than fulfilling their own. Though underdogs off two straight tournament upsets are 2-7 ATS in this round, these ‘Cats are a dangerous defensive dog.
CBB: NIT Semi-Final Wagering
2009-03-31
If you randomly picked four colleges out of hat, it would be difficult to find four more different universities that will be competing in the NIT Semifinals at Madison Square Garden tonight. The gathering is like a crazy stew, throwing all kinds of different types of meats and vegetables together, and blending unusual spices, yet somehow it tastes pretty darn good despite the odd mix. Be sure to get all the key information for the two games on the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages before hitting the confirm button on your wagers.
In the opening game, you have you schools that couldn’t be anymore different, at least culturally by location. With a veteran cast returning, Baylor (23-14, 12-17 ATS) was chosen to finish third or fourth in the Big 12. The Bears had defensive deficiencies this year and the offense was more inconsistent, which they couldn’t overcome, finishing a disappointing 5-11 in league play. A 66-62 home loss in the final game in Waco looked to have cemented the careers of five seniors who came to Baylor after the program was given the worst penalties of any university since SMU got the death penalty in 1987.
However, this group of young men who took a chance on their coach Scott Drew and a belief of restoring something left for dead, melded together during the conference tournament and finished second, losing to Elite Eight participant Missouri. That would have been a terrific ending, yet these Bears were still on the hunt and the snuck by Georgetown at home and won as road underdogs at Virginia Tech and Auburn, truly earning a spot in the Big Apple.
For the seniors on Baylor, who were only allowed to play Big 12 conference games as freshmen, this makes it worthwhile and they are 12-3 ATS in road games after two or more wins over the last three seasons.
San Diego State (26-9, 19-13 ATS) was expected to be a Mountain West Conference contender and they were. Though they fell short of goal of making the Big Dance, veteran coach Steve Fisher has kept the right perspective for his club.
“We don't view this as a consolation tournament," coach Fisher told the San Diego Union-Tribune earlier in the NIT. "We view this as the most important tournament that's going on right now, 'cause it's our tournament."
The Aztecs are 22-2 and 15-5 ATS when posting a better field-goal percentage than the opposition and 14-1 and 11-2 ATS when holding foes below 40 percent shooting. San Diego State is slight one point underdog with a total of 135 at Sportsbook.com. The Aztecs are 13-5 ATS off a cover, while Baylor is 4-11 ATS as a favorite this season.
In the second game, it’s a consolation prize for Notre Dame, while for Penn State; it’s another step in the journey building a basketball program. For the Fighting Irish (21-14, 12-18 ATS), it was a winter of discontent, after being as highly ranked as eighth in the country in November. Not enough defense, not enough shots made, left the Notre Dame players stunned and quiet.
"It almost got to the point in the locker room where it was just silence; no one had anything to say," senior Kyle McAlarney said. "Now it was just everyone yelling and everyone just psyched. We feel like we've accomplished something."
Off their win over Kentucky, the Irish come in 8-1 ATS after two consecutive games as a home favorite over the last two seasons.
This will be Penn State’s (25-11, 17-12 ATS) fifth trip to MSG for the NIT. The Nittany Lions are seeking a different outcome, having lost three times in the semis and once in the championship game. This year’s team defeated Final Four bound Michigan State on the road for the first time ever and upset Florida on their home floor to advance.
Coach Ed DeChellis summed it up this way, “For the seniors, it's their last shot at a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity."
Penn State is on the receiving end of 4.5-points, with a total 139.5. The Nittany Lions have performed well against good three-point shooting teams; with 33-18 ATS record in road games versus teams making 37 percent or more beyond the arc. The Irish hope their luck continues, but are just 9-18 ATS after a game where they covered the spread.
The NIT action starts at 7 Eastern on ESPN2 with the winners advancing to Thursday’s championship tilt.
StatFox Power Line –Baylor by 2, Notre Dame by 1
CBB: Elite 8 Round Tendencies
2009-03-27
Eight teams have their sights set on four spots in Detroit next week and college basketball’s prestigious Final Four proceedings. However, that means four other teams will see their seasons end either Saturday or Sunday. Still, to reach this point in the tournament, a team has truly reached elite status. What does it take to make it one step further? Take a look at the following trends for the Elite 8 round to see if you can get a jump start on your weekend college hoops betting. Of course, Sportsbook.com has all the betting action for you. Get the latest lines, totals, and more on the LIVE ODDS page.
- Favorites covered three of the four Elite 8 games in ’08, slowing a stretch of 22-9-1 ATS (70.9%) for underdogs from ’00-07.
- #1 seeds have been involved in 32 of the last 44 games in the Elite 8 round. Their record: 19-13 SU, but 12-18 ATS (40%).
- Teams favored by 8-points or more in the quarterfinal round have lost just two of the last 12 games outright, but are just 3-9 ATS (25%).
- Worse seeds hold an advantage in this round since 1998, going 27-15-2 ATS (64%). Those playing as underdogs of less than 7-points are 12-10 SU & 15-7 ATS (68%)!
- OVER the total is on a 21-10 run (68%) in this highest scoring of any round. In games with totals of 145 or less, the OVER has been spectacular, 20-6 (77%).
- For those looking for a nice parlay in the Elite 8 round, in the L15 games that the favorite has covered, the OVER is 13-1-1 (93%), including three times in ‘08.
2009-04-06
Villanova is the lowest seed to make the Final Four this season and has to fight the “just happy to be here” syndrome. If you noticed, head coach Jay Wright had the biggest smile of any of the sideline generals that appeared on television over the weekend. It is generally accepted that the coach has a chance at least for a day to relish the moment of taking a team to the elite of college basketball and it is personally satisfying to do so. Bettors give his team a better chance of beating North Carolina than the oddsmakers do. See the latest breakdown on the BETTING TRENDS page.
Villanova (30-7, 19-14 ATS) was close three years ago, with another bunch of scintillating guards. In 2006, it was seniors Randy Foye and Allen Ray, along with Kyle Lowery. They were the number one seed and lost to eventual champion Florida. In fact, the Wildcats have been a terrific tournament team under Wright with 11-4 SU record, but three of their four losses have been to eventual champion.
What made this team better is stronger inside presence, led by Dante Cunningham. The senior gives them a hard-working rebounder with nose for the ball and Shane Clark is ravenous defender, who also crashes the glass. While Villanova has somewhat of a reputation for slow-down basketball, they can play all 94 feet expertly and are 11-2 ATS versus good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points a game this season.
A lot of the attention is focused on the guards and it should be. Scottie Reynolds is the main man, but hardly the whole show. The Corey Fisher-Corey Stokes guard combo give the ‘Cats two scorers and defenders and Reggie Redding can lock an opponents best scorer, while adding points himself. Villanova comes is 10-3 ATS following a ATS win, which they had over Pittsburgh and you better not neglect Dwayne Anderson who also does many of the little things that have helped this team win games.
If you noticed, North Carolina (32-4, 16-19 ATS) had the most joy-less celebration of the four combatants that have made their way to the Motor City. The reason is simple; last year’s loss in the Final Four to Kansas left an empty void and the goal this year was to win six games in the tournament, not four.
Like every team in Detroit, the Tar Heels are peaking. North Carolina is 11-4 ATS away from Chapel Hill versus teams outscoring their opponents by four or more points an outing. Danny Green and Wayne Ellington have been finding the bottom of the net with exceptional regularity and Tyler Hansbrough is more dependable than a Swiss Army knife. As has been witnessed, Ty Lawson is playing not only like the ACC player of the year, but also like a first team All-American guard.
North Carolina’s offense is almost impossible to contain, scoring 90 points a game, converting on 48.3 percent of attempts and burying the three-ball 38.3 percent of the time. Though this team is more focused on offense than defense, that doesn’t mean they do not defend, ask Oklahoma who needed several baskets late just to reach 60 points. When the Heels hold opponents to 60 or less points they are 13-4 ATS in next contest.
For the second game of the day, Sportsbook.com has North Carolina as seven point favorite with a total of 158.5.
If North Carolina is hitting on all cylinders (a little Detroit talk), Villanova is only going to get run over with the Tar Heels taking record to 9-1 ATS in the NCAA tournament the last two years. UNC can match the play of the Wildcats guards and has more fire power and options to put them away. If they have a six point lead late, North Carolina can salt it away and cover, since they make 76 percent from the free throw line.
Villanova can shock the world in part because they are free of pressure. The so-called experts give Michigan State a shot to pull the upset, with nobody talking about coach Wright’s ‘Cats. Nova has to hit shots and avoid dead spots, where North Carolina can run off 10 straight in less than two minutes. They must always stay within contact. The defense has to play up on their man, especially Lawson, getting a hand in the face on every attempt and not have Cunningham get in foul trouble. Villanova has covered five of last six as tournament underdogs.
Teams like Villanova off back to back upsets are just 2-7 ATS when they make the Final Four, yet teams like the Tar Heels that are favored by seven or more points two days before the championship are 1-8 against the oddsmakers number.
CBB: Picking a Champion
2009-03-31
We are down to the nitty-gritty having to wait until Saturday afternoon to see who might be playing for the national championship. Though two of the teams that made the Final Four were expected, two others were mild surprises. Here is a breakdown of various elements to consider about all four participants that will be making their way to Detroit. Odds were as of Tuesday morning at Sportsbook.com. For the latest lines, totals, and futures prices, visit the LIVE ODDS page.
North Carolina -125 to win title
Take a quick trip back to Jan. 11 when North Carolina stood at 0-2 in the ACC and make your determination how far this talented team has come. Tyler Hansbrough and Ty Lawson are the two most important players on the Tar Heels roster; however the contributions of Danny Green and Wayne Ellington should not be understated. Their has been and will be more talk about the North Carolina players like Hansbrough, Green and Ellington to a lesser degree wanting to comeback to win a national championship. Once they found out they were unlikely to be taken in the first round of last year’s draft, they made the decision to return to Chapel Hill with sights on winning title, not before that.
There are a number of reasons why North Carolina is better than even money to give Roy Williams his second title in four years. Though Villanova has a wonderfully diverse backcourt, nobody has a player like Lawson. Ellington and Green are better players when he’s on the court. The Tar Heels have three players that shoot over 40 percent beyond the arc and they have a vast assortment of frontcourt players that can score and rebound. North Carolina is not a possession by possession defensive team like Michigan State; nevertheless, they can make four stops in a row and score on the other end each time to make short runs that open up games. This group of players was expected to be here and now their mission is to finish the deal, they are 8-1 ATS in last nine NCAA contests.
Connecticut +250 to win title
Though the path to the Final Four has been come thru the West Region before for Connecticut, their next game will be played in front of what should be at least 30,000 Michigan State fans. With the Huskies, you know Hasheem Thabeet, Jeff Adrien and A.J. Price are going to be solid performers. What secured Connecticut’s ability to get to Motown was the continued emergence of Stanley Robison and the growing before our eyes play of freshman Kemba Walker.
Thabeet is the biggest game-changing big man in the Final Four since Houston's Hakeem Olajuwon and Georgetown's Patrick Ewing played in the 1984 event. While his presence has a dramatic impact on how opponents go into the lane, his ability to stay out of foul trouble is of equal importance. UConn is a smart team and doesn’t give away points at the free throw line, committing very few fouls in spite of excellent on-ball defense. Higher seeds like Connecticut with a differential of at least two spots in the Final Four are 8-3 SU and ATS.
Michigan State +500 to win title
This is the most unlikely team to be in Detroit, even though they are just 75 miles away. If Tom Izzo’s name wasn’t in the conversation about best coaches in college basketball, that stops today. His Michigan State team was better prepared and outplayed a better Louisville team. Though not many will mention this, Izzo DID out-coached Rick Pitino.
Statistically, the Spartans aren’t going to overwhelm any of the four teams at Ford Field, not being an impressive team offensively or defensively. What they do is stay in front of their man on defense, offer enough help on dribble penetration and get a hand in your face. It’s often talked about most teams don’t like to play defense for 35 seconds, the same often holds true for teams running offenses. With how Michigan State guards, players become trigger-happy after 25-30 seconds, especially after a few empty trips.
Point guard Kalin Lucas makes the offense go, but when Goran Suton and Durrell Summers are dropping shots, this team adds a completely different dimension. Michigan State will have a football-like advantage as far as crowd noise and must keep there composure from being to “geeked” to play. Though teams off upsets cover just 40 percent of the time in the Final Four, nobody has had a few of the edges the Spartans will.
Villanova +600 to win title
Jay Wright is the only coach among the four, who has not won a national championship. With a couple more upsets, he and Villanova could change all that. After a walk-thru first half against American, the Wildcats were as impressive as any team in the tournament in almost literally taking apart UCLA and Duke. After Pittsburgh had wallowed thru three games, they returned to being Pittsburgh and for the final 30 minutes of that Elite Eight contest, all both teams did was make one big play after another.
What’s memorable about Villanova is the strength and diversification they have at guard. Be it Scottie Reynolds, Reggie Redding or the Corey’s, Stokes and Fisher, each brings something and invariably two or more plays well. Every coach would love to have a Dante Cunningham, who worked hard each year to be what he is today and fellow seniors Dwayne Anderson and Shane Clark are making plays on both sides of the court.
Just like in 1985 when Villanova last made the Final Four, this squad is not given a chance and has the advantage of zero expectations, other than fulfilling their own. Though underdogs off two straight tournament upsets are 2-7 ATS in this round, these ‘Cats are a dangerous defensive dog.
CBB: NIT Semi-Final Wagering
2009-03-31
If you randomly picked four colleges out of hat, it would be difficult to find four more different universities that will be competing in the NIT Semifinals at Madison Square Garden tonight. The gathering is like a crazy stew, throwing all kinds of different types of meats and vegetables together, and blending unusual spices, yet somehow it tastes pretty darn good despite the odd mix. Be sure to get all the key information for the two games on the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages before hitting the confirm button on your wagers.
In the opening game, you have you schools that couldn’t be anymore different, at least culturally by location. With a veteran cast returning, Baylor (23-14, 12-17 ATS) was chosen to finish third or fourth in the Big 12. The Bears had defensive deficiencies this year and the offense was more inconsistent, which they couldn’t overcome, finishing a disappointing 5-11 in league play. A 66-62 home loss in the final game in Waco looked to have cemented the careers of five seniors who came to Baylor after the program was given the worst penalties of any university since SMU got the death penalty in 1987.
However, this group of young men who took a chance on their coach Scott Drew and a belief of restoring something left for dead, melded together during the conference tournament and finished second, losing to Elite Eight participant Missouri. That would have been a terrific ending, yet these Bears were still on the hunt and the snuck by Georgetown at home and won as road underdogs at Virginia Tech and Auburn, truly earning a spot in the Big Apple.
For the seniors on Baylor, who were only allowed to play Big 12 conference games as freshmen, this makes it worthwhile and they are 12-3 ATS in road games after two or more wins over the last three seasons.
San Diego State (26-9, 19-13 ATS) was expected to be a Mountain West Conference contender and they were. Though they fell short of goal of making the Big Dance, veteran coach Steve Fisher has kept the right perspective for his club.
“We don't view this as a consolation tournament," coach Fisher told the San Diego Union-Tribune earlier in the NIT. "We view this as the most important tournament that's going on right now, 'cause it's our tournament."
The Aztecs are 22-2 and 15-5 ATS when posting a better field-goal percentage than the opposition and 14-1 and 11-2 ATS when holding foes below 40 percent shooting. San Diego State is slight one point underdog with a total of 135 at Sportsbook.com. The Aztecs are 13-5 ATS off a cover, while Baylor is 4-11 ATS as a favorite this season.
In the second game, it’s a consolation prize for Notre Dame, while for Penn State; it’s another step in the journey building a basketball program. For the Fighting Irish (21-14, 12-18 ATS), it was a winter of discontent, after being as highly ranked as eighth in the country in November. Not enough defense, not enough shots made, left the Notre Dame players stunned and quiet.
"It almost got to the point in the locker room where it was just silence; no one had anything to say," senior Kyle McAlarney said. "Now it was just everyone yelling and everyone just psyched. We feel like we've accomplished something."
Off their win over Kentucky, the Irish come in 8-1 ATS after two consecutive games as a home favorite over the last two seasons.
This will be Penn State’s (25-11, 17-12 ATS) fifth trip to MSG for the NIT. The Nittany Lions are seeking a different outcome, having lost three times in the semis and once in the championship game. This year’s team defeated Final Four bound Michigan State on the road for the first time ever and upset Florida on their home floor to advance.
Coach Ed DeChellis summed it up this way, “For the seniors, it's their last shot at a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity."
Penn State is on the receiving end of 4.5-points, with a total 139.5. The Nittany Lions have performed well against good three-point shooting teams; with 33-18 ATS record in road games versus teams making 37 percent or more beyond the arc. The Irish hope their luck continues, but are just 9-18 ATS after a game where they covered the spread.
The NIT action starts at 7 Eastern on ESPN2 with the winners advancing to Thursday’s championship tilt.
StatFox Power Line –Baylor by 2, Notre Dame by 1
CBB: Elite 8 Round Tendencies
2009-03-27
Eight teams have their sights set on four spots in Detroit next week and college basketball’s prestigious Final Four proceedings. However, that means four other teams will see their seasons end either Saturday or Sunday. Still, to reach this point in the tournament, a team has truly reached elite status. What does it take to make it one step further? Take a look at the following trends for the Elite 8 round to see if you can get a jump start on your weekend college hoops betting. Of course, Sportsbook.com has all the betting action for you. Get the latest lines, totals, and more on the LIVE ODDS page.
- Favorites covered three of the four Elite 8 games in ’08, slowing a stretch of 22-9-1 ATS (70.9%) for underdogs from ’00-07.
- #1 seeds have been involved in 32 of the last 44 games in the Elite 8 round. Their record: 19-13 SU, but 12-18 ATS (40%).
- Teams favored by 8-points or more in the quarterfinal round have lost just two of the last 12 games outright, but are just 3-9 ATS (25%).
- Worse seeds hold an advantage in this round since 1998, going 27-15-2 ATS (64%). Those playing as underdogs of less than 7-points are 12-10 SU & 15-7 ATS (68%)!
- OVER the total is on a 21-10 run (68%) in this highest scoring of any round. In games with totals of 145 or less, the OVER has been spectacular, 20-6 (77%).
- For those looking for a nice parlay in the Elite 8 round, in the L15 games that the favorite has covered, the OVER is 13-1-1 (93%), including three times in ‘08.